Eth retracement?

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The Ether-price went out of the triangle mentioned in my previous post, down to about 270€ shortly, as suggested.
Now the question is if that was a retracement in the up-wards trend or if this is one in the down-trend. If the price makes a clear crossover of the fib. -0.5 level (at 301-302€), the upwards trend might still be alive. If not it still loks like short to me.
Any ideas?